I don’t think this post was very good as originally written. However, it is part 4 in a multi-part series, so in lieu of deleting it, I have re-written the arguments I made as part of a larger post, here.
The arguments from this post made it into part 1 and part 4. There is also a very early post on this blog, one of the first 5 posts, that makes an argument that wound up as part 3. To be honest, just days after writing it, I already kind of disagree with what I said in part 5.