My blog is adjacent to some "mental models" blogs. Some of the mental models they discuss are elementary concepts (what confirmation bias is, what first principles are, what tribalism is, what a reductio ad absurdum is). My blog assumes you already know those. Some of the mental models they discuss are, in my opinion, wrong. … Continue reading Pop-psychology “smart” aphorisms that are actually BS (or IMO annoying)
Do we have free will, or fate, or both? (Sam Harris is Wrong, Part 2)
I re-wrote this article. Here is the new (completely changed) version.
Pomp and Statistics (or: 95% of reporting is wrong)
The Trump campaign, fooled by randomness, and confirmation bias >The candidate gained a huge amount of support in the polls. We can not explain why. It is probably due to broad, abstract trends that are outside the scope of our reporting.