Pop-psychology “smart” aphorisms that are actually BS (or IMO annoying)

My blog is adjacent to some "mental models" blogs. Some of the mental models they discuss are elementary concepts (what confirmation bias is, what first principles are, what tribalism is, what a reductio ad absurdum is). My blog assumes you already know those. Some of the mental models they discuss are, in my opinion, wrong. … Continue reading Pop-psychology “smart” aphorisms that are actually BS (or IMO annoying) →

Do we have free will, or fate, or both? (Sam Harris is Wrong, Part 2)

I re-wrote this article. Here is the new (completely changed) version.

Pomp and Statistics (or: 95% of reporting is wrong)

The Trump campaign, fooled by randomness, and confirmation bias >The candidate gained a huge amount of support in the polls. We can not explain why. It is probably due to broad, abstract trends that are outside the scope of our reporting.