Do the Gods Have a Plan for You?

To what extent do you have “fate?” And no, I’m not talking about free will and determinism. I mean the expectation that your experiences are going to follow a certain trajectory. You can experience a bit of existential dread: you are not the character of a movie or novel, and nothing is going to happen … Continue reading Do the Gods Have a Plan for You? →

Pomp and Statistics (or: 95% of reporting is wrong)

The Trump campaign, fooled by randomness, and confirmation bias
>The candidate gained a huge amount of support in the polls. We can not explain why. It is probably due to broad, abstract trends that are outside the scope of our reporting.